They say surveys about Harris' chances
President Biden announces his withdrawal, paving the way for Kamala Harris. However, her candidacy is not yet assured. And surveys show that Harris will have to fight to win against Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris will run for the Democrats - but does she have good chances of being elected? According to the "New York Times", she is behind Trump by an average of two percentage points nationwide in the latest polls, with 46% for Harris compared to 48% for Trump.
Biden, who has now dropped out, was three percentage points behind Trump in the polls on average. So Harris performs better than Biden, who was at 44% compared to Trump's 47%.
In the latest polls in Swing States conducted before the attack on Trump and Biden's withdrawal, Harris trailed Trump by only one percentage point in the decisive Swing State of Pennsylvania in a hypothetical matchup. In Virginia, a state where Biden was only barely ahead, she had a comfortable five percentage point lead. In both states, Harris could easily achieve better results among black voters, young people, and women.
In the closely contested Arizona, Harris performs worse than Trump in polls and gets 42% in surveys from mid-July, according to the US Statistics Portal 538, while Trump gets 48%. Biden could have had a slightly better result of one percentage point.
In the Swing State of Michigan, Harris is level with the Republican ex-President in some polls, while in others she is several percentage points behind. The situation also seems open in Wisconsin, where Harris is tied with Trump in a recent poll.
Following Biden's withdrawal, many speculate about Harris' prospects in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Despite some promising numbers in certain states, recent surveys indicate that Harris trails Donald Trump in national polls by a slim margin. Interestingly, these surveys show that Harris outperforms Biden's numbers against Trump during his presidency.
