Progressive improvement in Germany's economic outlook.
Germany's economic picture is looking brighter lately, thanks to the Institute for Macroeconomics and Business Cycle Research (IMK) at the Hans-Böckler Foundation. They've noticed that the chances of the country facing a recession in the next few months have significantly reduced. This optimization is primarily attributed to the recovery of industrial production.
Apart from this, energy prices have reached a steady state, causing the experts to think that manufacturing in industries with high energy requirements, especially the chemicals sector, has hit rock bottom. Exports have also shot up, suggesting a continued recovery for industrial production. Other factors giving the economy a boost are improved mood and financial market signals, the IMK shares. However, retail sales continue to struggle.
Peter Hohlfeld, an IMK economist, said, "The economic outlook is looking better than ever before in recent months." He predicts that German products will be in higher demand throughout the year and pocket money of households will increase significantly due to low inflation and rising salaries. These two factors are likely to drive the economy forward.
The IMK releases this index monthly. The team assesses the probability of a recession or a growth spurt in Germany within the next three months. This index marks the first positive result since June 2023.
