- Predicted Outcome: Tight Competition between CDU and AfD in Saxony's Elections
In the recent local election in Saxony, a tight contest is developing between the CDU and the AfD. As per the 6 PM predictions by ARD and ZDF, both parties are awfully close, with the CDU slightly ahead in the ARD forecast. The Alliance for Progress and Social Justice (BSW), headed by Sahra Wagenknecht, is placing third, followed by the SPD. The Greens are on the verge of securing another term. The FDP and The Left are not predicted to make it into the state legislature.
According to the forecasts, the CDU, headed by Minister President Michael Kretschmer, is polling at 31.5 to 32 percent, while the AfD is at 30 to 31.5 percent. The BSW is polling at 11.5 to 12 percent. The SPD is polling at 7.5 to 8.5 percent. The Greens are at 5 to 5.5 percent, barely surpassing the limit. The Left is polling at 4 to 4.5 percent, just like the FDP, which according to the ZDF forecast is polling at 1 percent. In the ARD forecast, the FDP was not even mentioned.
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