Possible rain threat persists in the southern region until Tuesday.
After a week of heavy downpours, the weather should improve slightly in the coming days. However, there's still the possibility of more rain. It won't be until the end of the week when the sun starts to make an appearance and temperatures become warmer. According to meteorologist Bjoern Alexander.
The situation in flooded and landslide-prone areas remains precarious. From the Alps to Saxony and Thuringia, thunderstorms could still erupt in the humid and water-saturated air. Intense rainfall of up to 50 liters per square meter within a short period is a potentially disastrous scenario.
The substantial rainfall in southern Germany has caused significant damage. The ongoing rainfall is indeed responsible for the situation, but local thunderstorm hotspots are also emerging. These trigger points will mainly occur in an area from Stuttgart to Schwabisch Gmünd and Ingolstadt in Bavaria. Rainfall of more than 50 liters per hour is possible in some places.
Landslides and mudslides are also a concern. Weather forecast models predict similar rainfall levels in southern East Germany, particularly in the Dresden and Erzgebirge areas. In addition to field flooding, road, underpass, and path flooding, as well as overflowing streams and smaller rivers, there is a danger of landslides and mudslides in mountainous regions.
The weather will begin to stabilize. On Tuesday, thunderstorms will persist in Upper Bavaria, but they should gradually lessen after noon. High "Willi" will take control of the weather situation in southern Germany, while Scandinavian low "Swantje" works to bring clouds and rain to the center to the north. A summary of the forecast for the week:
Monday: Thunderstorm focal points in the south
Thunderstorms in the morning move from Lake Constance to Swabia, southern Germany, and the southeast. Rainfall of 10 to 20 liters per square meter can be expected. In the afternoon, thunderstorms focus on the Alpine foothills from the Allgäu to Upper Bavaria, with 20 to 60 liters per square meter. In the north and northwest of the country, compact clouds will spread, but rain will be rare. Overall, it's sunnier with more sunny periods. Temperature ranges from 17 degrees in the windy north to 23 degrees in the southwest.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds
On Tuesday, after the rain in the south, we can expect a mix of sun and clouds. While there's still a chance for showers and thunderstorms, they should remain manageable. Temperatures range between 18 and 24 degrees.
Wednesday: A sunnier day in the south
After the rain in the south, Wednesday offers the most pleasant weather of the week. Sun and clouds alternate, but showers and thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. The temperature is between 18 and 24 degrees.
From the west, a new front moves in, bringing heavy showers, short thunderstorms, and a strong wind. Despite the proximity to the Scandinavian low, the south and behind the showers should experience more blue sky by evening. Temperatures range from 16 to 26 degrees.
Thursday and Friday: Tempting summer weather
Forecast models indicate that a summery feeling could arrive on Thursday and Friday. Despite the nearby Scandinavian low, it's expected to be more changeable, with temperatures around 17 degrees. However, there's a possibility of having much more sun and correspondingly higher temperatures of 23 to 28 degrees. Uncertainty surrounds this prediction, as some models suggest the arrival of more rain showers from the southwest.
During the weekend: A forecast full of uncertainty
The forecast becomes increasingly unreliable as the week progresses. Some scenarios involve rain moving along the center of the country, while others have rain falling on either side. Temperatures could reach 25 degrees in some areas, while it might be noticeably cooler in the rain.
In conclusion, the weather will likely remain unsettled with the potential for significant rainfall in certain regions, especially in the south.
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Björn Alexander, the meteorologist, predicts that despite improvements in the weather, international travelers should still be aware of the potential for thunderstorms in certain areas of southern Germany. Extreme weather conditions, such as intense rainfall of up to 50 liters per square meter within a short period, could pose a threat, especially in regions like Bavaria.