Greens are perceived as an elite party
The Greens would only get 11 percent if the Bundestag was elected at that moment. Another survey for the Trendbarometer shows: Only a minority of Germans feel that the Greens care for the interests of broader social strata.
The political mood remains largely stable in Germany this week - which means the Greens are stuck on their poor performance from the previous week. The FDP improves in the RTL and ntv Trendbarometer by one point to 6 percent. The Free Voters fall below 3 percent, so the share of other parties rises to 14 percent - parties below 3 percent are not specifically identified in the Forsa survey.
The values of all other parties remain unchanged. If the Bundestag were elected at that time, the parties could expect the following results: CDU/CSU 31 percent (Bundestag election in September 2021: 24.1 percent), AfD 16 percent (10.3 percent), SPD 15 percent (25.7 percent), Greens 11 percent (14.8 percent), BSW 7 percent (-), FDP 6 percent (11.5 percent). The remaining 14 percent are for other parties, including the Left and the Free Voters.
The share of non-voters and undecided voters remains significantly lower than at the last Bundestag election (23.4 percent).
Apart from the previous week, the Greens last recorded such a poor rating in the Trendbarometer in May 2018. Another Forsa survey for the Trendbarometer may explain the background of this development: Only 39 percent of Germans have the impression that the Greens care for the interests of broader social strata.
54 percent of Germans, on the other hand, believe that the Greens pursue a policy for the upper income and education classes. Among Eastern Germans, this is even 72 percent.
Those who believe the Greens care for the interests of broader social strata are mainly the supporters of the Greens themselves and the SPD. The supporters of all other parties are more of the opinion that the Greens represent the interests of the upper income and education classes.
Currently, 39 percent of Germans think the Greens should also nominate a chancellor candidate for the next Bundestag election. A majority of 56 percent find that they should not do this, according to a Forsa survey for the "Stern". Among Greens supporters, 84 percent believe their party should run with a chancellor candidate or a chancellor candidate again.
Merz narrowly leads Scholz
There is little movement in the chancellor question: If the Federal Chancellor were elected directly instead of by the German Bundestag, 28 percent would currently choose CDU leader Friedrich Merz, one point less than in the previous week. Unchanged, 27 percent would choose SPD Chancellor Olaf Scholz. 45 percent of all eligible voters (and 53 percent of eligible voters in Eastern Germany) would currently neither choose Merz nor Scholz.
*The Union loses one point and comes to 22 percent in the question of which party will best solve the problems in Germany. The SPD gains one point and reaches 8 percent. Each of the Greens and the AfD are seen as having the greatest political competence by 6 percent of the population respectively. The FDP is trusted with this by 2 percent, and 6 percent of the population trust one of the other parties. Half of the Germans do not trust any party to solve the problems in Germany.
The data for the RTL/ntv Trendbarometer was collected by the Market and Opinion Research Institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany between the 25th of June and the 1st of July. Sample size: 2506 respondents. Margin of error: plus/minus 2.5 percentage points. The data on the perception of the Greens was collected on the 28th of June and the 1st of July. Sample size: 1005 respondents. Margin of error: plus/minus 3 percentage points. The survey for the "Stern" was conducted on the 27th and 28th of June. Sample size: 1002 respondents. Margin of error: plus/minus 3 percentage points.
More information about Forsa here. [
Forsa surveys on behalf of RTL Germany.]*
- The FDP's improvement in the RTL/ntv Trendbarometer is not shared by the Greens, who continue to struggle with low ratings.
- Despite the Greens' poor performance in surveys, Friedrich Merz of the CDU narrowly leads SPD Chancellor Olaf Scholz in the chancellor question.
- The FDP's improved standing in the RTL/ntv Trendbarometer could be beneficial for Friedrich Merz's chances, as the FDP and CDU often form an alliance in German politics.
- The AfD also maintains a high level of support, with 16 percent of Germans intending to vote for the party in the Federal election 2025, according to surveys.
- The CSU, BSW, and Alliance 90/The Greens all see their support levels remaining stable, with the CSU and BSW securing 31 percent and 7 percent respectively in a hypothetical Federal election 2025.
- The SPD, despite Olaf Scholz's leadership, is also experiencing a dip in popularity, with only 15 percent of Germans intending to vote for the party in the Federal election 2025, according to surveys.
