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By the year 2045, Germany's population is projected to reach 85.5 million individuals.

Anticipated outlook by BBSR suggests forthcoming trends

On the day before Christmas Eve, crowds of people walk along Königsallee in Düsseldorf.
On the day before Christmas Eve, crowds of people walk along Königsallee in Düsseldorf.

By the year 2045, Germany's population is projected to reach 85.5 million individuals.

By the year 2045, Germany's populace is predicted to hit 85.5 million, as per a fresh estimate unveiled on a Wednesday in Bonn by the Federal Institute for Building, Urban and Spatial Research (BBSR). This forecast indicates an approximate increase of 800,000 people, or 0.9%, compared to the year 2023.

The BBSR credits this growth mainly to anticipated immigration from foreign lands. As per Peter Jakubowski, head of the Department of Spatial and Urban Development at the BBSR, without foreign immigration, Germany's population in 2045 would be significantly lower thanks to a higher number of deaths surpassing births.

However, regional differences are stark. Thriving metropolitan areas, their surrounding regions, and numerous rural spots, especially in Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg, are expected to carry on expanding. On the flip side, population decline will persist in structurally weak regions outside metropolitan areas, according to the institute. The forecast points to "partially opposing challenges" for these regions.

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The new population forecast by BBSR predicts a million more people in Germany by 2045, with most growth attributable to immigration. According to Peter Jakubowski from BBSR, foreign immigration is key to preventing a significant population decline due to higher death rates exceeding birth rates. Despite this, the forecast indicates contrasting population trends, with expansion in metropolitan areas and rural spots like Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg, and persistent decline in structurally weak regions.

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