Upcoming Thuringia election polls indicate a significant lead for the AfD party.
Based on the alliance, Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW earned 17%, while the Left party under Bodo Ramelow secured 14%. SPD received 6%. The Greens, in a power-sharing arrangement with the Left party and SPD, didn't make it to the state parliament with a mere 4%. The FDP wouldn't be present in the parliament either.
As per a poll conducted by Institute Infratest dimap for ARD on Thursday, if elections happened this Sunday, the AfD would capture 30%, the CDU would get 23%, and BSW would gather 17%. The Left party would score 13%, SPD would manage 7%, and the Greens would only manage 3%. Unfortunately, even with a 5% threshold, the FDP would still miss out.
Given these poll results, forming a coalition post elections seems challenging. All other parties refuse partnerships with the AfD. CDU rejects alliances with the Left party and Greens. The sole majority option is a CDU, BSW, and SPD coalition. However, collaborations with BSW cause internal conflict within the CDU. Voigt is open to discussions, but Federal Chairman of CDU, Friedrich Merz, categorically refuses alliances, at least at the federal level.
The upcoming elections for new state parliaments will take place in Thuringia and Saxony on the next Sunday. Brandenburg will vote on September 22. The outcome is highly anticipated, specifically concerning the AfD's performance. The party has dominated the polls in Thuringia for quite a while.
In light of the mentioned poll results, the 'Other' parties, not including the AfD, CDU, SPD, BSW, and the Left party, would have minimal representation if elections were held immediately. Despite Merz's opposition, a potential coalition of CDU, BSW, and SPD, known as 'Other', could still be a possibility in the upcoming elections.