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Upcoming state elections in Saxony: AfD leads CDU in latest surveys

With barely three months left for Saxony's state election, the lead of the AfD in polls is dwindling. In the latest "Sachsentrend" poll, conducted by Infratest dimap for Mitteldeutscher Rundfunk (MDR), the AfD still maintains a lead with 30%, yet Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer's CDU trails...

Voting in previous state elections
Voting in previous state elections

Upcoming state elections in Saxony: AfD leads CDU in latest surveys

Compared to the previous January survey by MDR, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) saw a drop of five points, while the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) lost just one. The coalition partners of the CDU, the Social Democrats (SPD) and the Greens, are expected to maintain their seven percent each.

The new alliance led by Sahra Wagenknecht, BSW, is garnering substantial support. According to MDR's survey, BSW could potentially secure a 15% share, marking a seven-point increase since the establishment of the BSW state association. As things stand, the Left party would be absent in the Dresden state parliament, sitting at 3%.

Given the current circumstances, a state government led by the CDU would necessitate new party alliances and would not be achievable without the involvement of BSW. In terms of a possible direct election, the incumbent Minister President, Michael Kretschmer, is a clear favorite, with 58% of interviewees planning to vote for him. The AfD's candidate, Jörg Urban, would only receive 17% of the vote.

An Insa survey published in the "Sächsische Zeitung", the "Leipziger Volkszeitung" and the "Freien Presse" also showed the AfD in the lead, with 32%, while the CDU trailed closely behind at 30%.

The BSW also secured 15% in this survey. The remaining parties need to be concerned about making it into the parliament on September 1st. The Greens and SPD came in at 5% each, while the Left party stands at 4%, followed by the currently unrepresented Free Democrats (FDP) at 2%.

Read also:

  1. Infratest dimap, the company responsible for the January survey, conducted another survey before the upcoming state election in Saxony.
  2. According to the latest MDR survey, the AfD dropped five points compared to their previous survey, while the CDU lost only one point.
  3. The state of Saxony, specifically Leipzig, was highlighted in the MDR survey as a key region to watch during the upcoming state election.
  4. The new alliance led by Sahra Wagenknecht, BSW, gained considerable support in the latest MDR survey, potentially securing a 15% share, an increase of seven points since the establishment of the BSW state association.
  5. As the incumbent Minister President of Saxony, Michael Kretschmer is a clear favorite in the upcoming state election, with 58% of interviewees planning to vote for him, according to an Insa survey.
  6. The SPD, one of the coalition partners of the CDU, and the Greens are expected to maintain their seven percent each in the upcoming state election, as per the latest MDR survey.
  7. The AfD, led by Jörg Urban, is currently leading in the state election, according to both the MDR and Insa surveys, with the CDU trailing closely behind.

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