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UN predicts a 80% chance of breaching the 1.5-degree threshold temporarily by 2028.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres stated that by 2028, there is an 80% likelihood the global average annual temperature will surpass 1.5 degrees, as temperatures consistently break previous records. In fact, May 2024 holds the record for being the warmest May on historical radar. This is...

UN Secretary-General António Guterres
UN Secretary-General António Guterres

UN predicts a 80% chance of breaching the 1.5-degree threshold temporarily by 2028.

Guterres referred to fresh findings from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the EU Earth Observation Programme Copernicus. The WMO stated that there's a 4 out of 5 chance that the set temperature target during the UN Climate Conference in Paris in 2015 - 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels - might be surpassed within the next 5 years. Guterres likened the human activity's impact on global warming to a "meteorite that brought the dinosaurs extinction."

As reported by Copernicus, the planet's average temperature in May was a whopping 1.52°C higher than the typical May temperature between 1850 and 1900. This marks the 11th consecutive month since July 2023 where the temperature has breached the pre-industrial era's 1.5°C mark.

In the Paris Climate Agreement of 2015, nations decided to cap global warming below 2°C, preferably 1.5°C when compared to pre-industrial levels. This figure was calculated over a lengthy time frame. However, due to the steady increase in temperature, this aim is starting to seem impossible.

A research article published in the journal "Earth System Science Data" yesterday explained that the average temperature rise during the last decade, between 2014 and 2023, was 1.19°C compared to 1850-1900.

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