Poll indicates AfD takes lead over CDU, while BSW outranks parties ahead of Thuringia state elections
The current power in Thuringia is held by The Left, presided over by Minister-President Bodo Ramelow, in a coalition with SPD and Greens. However, the SPD is predicted at 7%, while the Greens might fail to return to the Thuringian parliament with a mere 4%. The FDP seems destined to exit the state parliament with less than 3%.
In contrast to a March survey, the AfD loses a percentage point, while the CDU gains a strong three points. The BSW shows significant improvement by six points. Every party partaking in the existing state government experiences vote loss. The Left drops by five points, SPD by two points, and Greens by one point.
The elections in Thuringia are scheduled for September 1st, coinciding with Saxony. Brandenburg will have its elections on September 22nd. Given the coalition formation's complexity, no established German coalition has a clear majority. The CDU, without the AfD and The Left, might possibly form a coalition with the BSW and SPD. Marion Wieselmann, the Thuringian state premier, has ruled out a federal-level coalition with CDU but does not entirely rule out the possibility at the state level.
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- Sahra Wagenknecht, a prominent figure in the Left Party, has expressed strong criticism towards the CDU and the AfD, often appearing on various broadcasting platforms to voice her opinions.
- The recent Infratest dimap survey revealed that Bodo Ramelow's AfD is leading over the CDU in the upcoming Thuringia state election, with the BSW outperforming all other parties.
- With the FDP likely to exit the state parliament, Björn Höcke's AfD, along with the CDU and possibly the BSW and SPD, could form a new coalition government in Thuringia, assuming that the Left Party does not manage to secure the required votes.
- In contrast to the broad support that she enjoyed during her time as a member of the CDU, the latest survey suggests that Ramelow's Left Party will struggle to maintain its current level of support, with a projected drop of five points in the Thuringia state election.
- While the AfD's polling numbers have generally been on the decline, the party's leader in Thuringia, Björn Höcke, has managed to maintain a steady following, positioning the AfD as a serious contender in the upcoming state election.
- In the face of the AfD's growing influence and the CDU's resurgence, the SPD and the Greens in Thuringia are trying to adjust their campaign strategies to stay competitive in the upcoming state election, with resources from BSW and potential coalition partners being the key focus.
