Poll: Government majority for CDU, BSW and SPD possible

State election - Poll: Government majority for CDU, BSW and SPD possible

After a new survey for the Thuringia state election, a coalition government without the involvement of AfD and The Left is possible in Thuringia. According to an Insa survey commissioned by Funke Media Group's newspapers, the CDU, the Sahra Wagenknecht Bundle (BSW), and the SPD have the potential to form the next state government after the September 1st election. Furthermore, the AfD, which is considered right-wing extremist by the Thuringian Constitution Protection, and its party leader Bjoern Hoecke, were reportedly strong by the Ostthuringian Newspaper online on a Wednesday.

Currently, Minister President Bodo Ramelow (The Left) governs with a red-red-green coalition that does not have a majority in the state parliament.

In the survey, the AfD comes in with 29%, one point less than in an Insa survey in April. All other parties have so far excluded cooperation with the AfD.

The CDU, whose candidate Mario Voigt wants to replace Ramelow as Minister President, gains two points to reach 22%. The BSW, which only has a state organization in Thuringland for a few weeks, loses four points compared to the April survey, with the most significant decline among the parties, at 20%. The SPD remains stable at 7.0%. CDU, BSW, and SPD together make up 49%. None of the three parties have ruled out cooperation with the other two so far.

Ramelow's The Left continues to lose ground

The Left, which has been the governing party in Thuringia since 2014, with a brief interruption, lost two points in the survey compared to April and now stands at 14%. In the state election five years ago, it was still the strongest party with 31%. The Greens drop by one point to four percent, while the FDP remains stable at two percent. Both parties would fail to reach the five-percent hurdle with these values and would leave the parliament.

Insa surveyed 1000 Thuringians aged 18 and over online between June 17 and 24. The maximum error tolerance, according to the Meinungsforschungsinstitut, is 3.1 percentage points.

1. The survey suggests a coalition government in Thuringia, excluding The Left (Bodo Ramelow) and AfD, might be possible post-state election on September 1st.
2. The CDU, Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), and SPD have the potential to form the next government after the survey, according to Funke Media Group's newspapers.
3. The AfD, considered right-wing extremist by the Thuringian Constitution Protection, was reportedly strong in a report by the East Thuringian Newspaper.
4. Current Minister President Bodo Ramelow governs with a red-red-green coalition that does not have a majority in the state parliament.
5. The AfD gained two points to reach 29% in the survey, while the CDU climbed to 22%, the BSW dropped to 20%, and the SPD remained stable at 7.0%.
6. The Left, the governing party in Thuringia since 2014, lost two points in the survey compared to April and now stands at 14%.
7. The CDU, BSW, and SPD together make up 49%, and none of the three parties have ruled out cooperation with the other two so far.
8. In the survey, the Greens dropped by one point to four percent, and the FDP remained stable at two percent, which might leave both parties out of the parliament due to the five-percent hurdle.

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